Trump Speech Slurred Again in Davos
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump tried to play it both ways on climate change in describing a warming-but-cooling planet Earth. The unequivocal response, according to data and climate scientists: wrong.
The president's claims about ice caps, from an interview heard Lord's day on Britain's ITV News, also were off the mark.
Information technology was the latest set of misstatements over the past week by Trump, who was also proven incorrect almost his chances for seeing the U.S. mail service 3 per centum economic growth in 2017 after scoffing at the skeptics who predicted otherwise. Previewing Tuesday's State of the Union speech, the principal act in presidential rhetoric, Trump made the iffy claim at the World Economical Forum in Davos, Switzerland, that America is "roaring back."
A look at how some of his remarks don't match with the facts:
TRUMP: "There is a cooling, and there's a heating. I mean, look, it used to non be climate change, it used to exist global warming. That wasn't working too well because it was getting as well cold all over the identify." — ITV interview.
People are as well reading…
THE FACTS: That simply doesn't fit with the scientific discipline. The world hasn't had a cooler-than-average twelvemonth since 1976 and hasn't had a libation-than-normal month since the finish of 1985, according to more than 135 years of temperature records kept by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The final four years have been the iv hottest years on tape globally, with 2010 the fifth hottest year, according to NOAA. Every year in the 21st century has been at least three quarters of a caste (0.iv degrees Celsius) warmer than the 20th century average and in the top 25 hottest years on record, NOAA records bear witness.
And while a good chunk of the United States had a frigid snap recently, most of the rest of the world was far warmer than normal, co-ordinate to temperature records.
Ten climate scientists contacted by The Associated Printing said the president was not accurate well-nigh climatic change. Rutgers University climate scientist Jennifer Francis responded in an electronic mail: "Conspicuously President Trump is relying on alternative facts to inform his views on climate change. Ice on the ocean and on country are both disappearing speedily, and we know why: increasing greenhouse gases from burning fossil fuels that trap more heat and melt the ice."
TRUMP: "The water ice caps were going to melt, they were going to exist gone past now, but at present they're setting records. They're at a record level." — ITV interview.
THE FACTS: It is a bit more nuanced, merely not quite right.
While a small number of experts a decade agone had predicted that Chill would be free of summer ocean ice past now, most mainstream scientists and the United Nations' Intergovernmental Console on Climate Change did not; instead they said Arctic sea water ice would shrink, which it has, said Pennsylvania Land University ice scientist Richard Alley. Well-nigh scientists, including the director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center, are predicting that the Arctic volition exist free of summer bounding main water ice former around the 2040s.
The Arctic set a record for the everyman amount of ocean ice in the winter, when sea ice normally grows to its maximum levels, in March 2017. In 2012, the Arctic set a record for lowest sea ice levels. Body of water ice recovered slightly from that record and in 2017 in September, the annual depression was only the eighth lowest on record, according to the National Snow and Water ice Data Center. Just the x lowest years of sea ice accept been all in the last 11 years. Arctic sea water ice is declining at a rate of 13.two percent per decade, according to NASA.
Princeton University climate scientist Michael Oppenheimer said the Antarctic ocean water ice pack, less directly influenced by global climate change, varies from year to year. Antarctica hit a record low for sea ice in March 2017, the same month the Arctic hit a record winter depression. Antarctic sea ice besides reached a record high in 2014.
TRUMP: "After years of stagnation, the U.s. is once again experiencing strong economic growth." — Davos speech.
THE FACTS: The economy is doing improve by some measures just information released right as Trump finished speaking shows it hasn't yet accelerated meaningfully since his inauguration.
Since the Swell Recession ended in 2009, the economy has expanded at an boilerplate annual stride of two.1 percent, which makes it the slowest recovery since World War II. The Commerce Department said Friday the economy grew 2.three percent in 2017, Trump'southward outset year in office. Near economists expect better in 2018. But the Us hasn't still entered a sustained flow of faster growth.
Trump was gunning for 3 per centum or better, and confident nigh his chances. He reached that goal in ii quarters and ofttimes pointed out that President Barack Obama never saw iii percentage growth for a twelvemonth.
"It was not similar that in your last administration," Trump said at a rally in Pensacola, Florida, on Dec. 8. "Economic growth terminal quarter surged to 3.three percent. Yous know where it was, correct? When we started — you lot know where it was? Bingo. (Now) 3.three pct and it's going a lot higher. You know, I used to hear, 'Y'all'll never striking iii pct. You'll never striking 2 1/2. You effigy maybe 2.iii percent, ii.4 percent.'"
Those doubters figured correctly: It was 2.3 per centum.
TRUMP: "Since my election, we've created 2.four meg jobs. And that number is going up very, very essentially." — Davos voice communication.
THE FACTS: Actually, job growth is going downward.
Looking at almanac totals, rather than since the November 2016 ballot, U.S. companies and other employers added 2.1 million jobs in 2017. That was actually the lowest job growth in seven years. It's not surprising that chore gains are slowing, which typically happens when unemployment has fallen to very low levels and there are fewer people to hire. Right now, it is four.1 percent, the everyman in 17 years. Even so, Trump's assertions that hiring is picking upwards is wrong.
TRUMP: "The tax cut neb is expected to raise the average American'southward household income by more than than $4,000." — Davos speech.
THE FACTS: About mainstream economists are skeptical of this figure. The average household will meet its income rise $1,610 in 2018 because of cuts in income tax, according to the Tax Policy Centre.
The $4,000 effigy refers to an approximate by White House economist Kevin Hassett that the cut in the corporate tax rate, to 21 percent from 35 percent, volition lift household income by that much on boilerplate. This is based on the idea that companies will utilize their higher profits to invest more in machinery and other tools that will make workers more productive and therefore able to need higher pay. That may happen, but it would take years to occur and most economists wait the benefit, if whatsoever, for near workers volition be smaller.
TRUMP: "The world'south largest company, Apple, announced information technology plans to bring $245 billion in overseas profits domicile to America. Their full investment into the U.s.a. economy will be more than $350 billion over the next five years." — Davos speech.
THE FACTS: This is misleading: Information technology'south non clear from Apple'southward statement that it is really increasing investment in the U.S. from its current levels.
Under the new tax police, the visitor is paying $38 billion in taxes on profits it held overseas — taxes it had previously avoided paying past keeping the money offshore. That'due south included in the $350 billion. Information technology also said information technology will continue to buy goods and services from U.Due south. suppliers at its current stride, which would equal $275 billion over 5 years.
Finally, it said it would invest $xxx billion over the next five years in a new campus and other buildings, computers, and other equipment. Yet based on the visitor's almanac statements, it'due south not sure this is an increment, either. The company doesn't specify how much of its investment is in the U.S. and how much overseas. Apple invested more than than $13 billion worldwide in 2017.
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Associated Printing writers Christopher Rugaber and Calvin Woodward contributed to this written report. Observe AP Fact Checks at http://apne.ws/2kbx8bd. Follow @APFactCheck on Twitter: https://twitter.com/APFactCheck
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Source: https://www.nwitimes.com/news/national/govt-and-politics/fact-check-trumps-half-baked-claims-on-climate-economy/article_890269c5-cec6-59eb-ae09-081ceb37d99e.html
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